Total Return
-99.77%
$-9,976.75
Final Value
$23.25
Initial: $10,000.00
Max Drawdown
99.78%
$10,313.45
Win Rate
37.6%
317/844 trades
Trade Analysis
Trade Statistics
| Metric |
Value |
| Total Trades |
844 |
| Won Trades |
317 |
| Lost Trades |
527 |
| Average Win |
$93.76 |
| Average Loss |
$75.33 |
| Average Trade |
$-11.82 |
| Longest Win Streak |
5 |
| Longest Loss Streak |
10 |
Benchmark Comparison
| Metric |
Strategy |
Buy & Hold |
Difference |
| Total Return |
-99.77%
|
-5.65%
|
-94.12%
|
| Final Value |
$23.25 |
$9,435.15 |
$-9,411.90 |
| Max Drawdown |
99.78% |
-35.77% |
135.55% |
Monte Carlo Analysis
1000 simulations with trade resampling to assess strategy robustness.
Simulation Statistics
| Return Metric |
Value |
| Mean Return |
-3.61% |
| Median Return |
-3.79% |
| Std Deviation |
4.25% |
| 5th Percentile |
-10.21% |
| 95th Percentile |
3.73% |
| Risk Metric |
Value |
| Probability of Profit |
18.9%
|
| VaR (95%) |
-10.21% |
| CVaR (95%) |
-11.88% |
| Mean Max Drawdown |
-6.77% |
| Worst Max Drawdown |
-18.69% |
Risk Metrics Summary
| Metric |
Value |
Interpretation |
| Sharpe Ratio |
0.00 |
Poor |
| Sortino Ratio |
-8.17 |
Poor |
| SQN (System Quality Number) |
-2.55 |
Average |
| CAGR |
-99.77% |
Compound Annual Growth Rate |